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let me ask you about the latest polls because the pew poll now shows mitt romney ahead for the first time. these things could bounce around a little bit but certainly shows he has gained some advantage after that debate. >> well, i thought there was an interesting column by a fellow named nate silver 538 in "the new york times" plot s out how the elections have gone in the past. almost always when an incumbent president in the debate and a challenger does well which almost always happens the challenger goes up for a while in the polls but then goes back down. he think it would have much effect on the election and i tend to agree with him. >> that is if the candidate, if the president of the united states, comes back with a different game plan. what do you think he needs to do in the next debate he didn't do in the first debate? >> well, the bottom line is, i think that he is a fighter. i think he will come to the conclusion that he let romney get away with a little too much trying to be very presidential, and i don't think you'll see the same thing in the next debate. >> let's talk a
let me ask you about the latest polls because the pew poll now shows mitt romney ahead for the first time. these things could bounce around a little bit but certainly shows he has gained some advantage after that debate. >> well, i thought there was an interesting column by a fellow named nate silver 538 in "the new york times" plot s out how the elections have gone in the past. almost always when an incumbent president in the debate and a challenger does well which almost...
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Oct 11, 2012
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there's also rasmussen poll that has romney three hey, 47-44. >> a lot of these polls where you see the president with, like, a five- or six-point lead, you go into the internals and you see they've been over-sampling democrats by, like, nine, or even, 10 or even 13 points. >> actually, greg, there was a brand new national bloomberg poll released today showing governor romney leading president obama on the issue of terrorism by six point. >> jon: how the hell are these polls so divergent, useless, accurate, yet quotable? i think we all know what we need? nerds! >> when you see obamaing gaining in today's poll, that means obama's interviews yesterday were better than seven days ago conducted before the debate. he went from three ahead in the seven-day track yesterday to five ahead in the track today. the next round of swing state polls shows the swing states tied, then democrats really will-- it will be appropriate for them to panic. ( laughter ) ( applause ) >> jon: nobody understands these things but those guys. and they're not telling us anything. is there anything that can help us ge
there's also rasmussen poll that has romney three hey, 47-44. >> a lot of these polls where you see the president with, like, a five- or six-point lead, you go into the internals and you see they've been over-sampling democrats by, like, nine, or even, 10 or even 13 points. >> actually, greg, there was a brand new national bloomberg poll released today showing governor romney leading president obama on the issue of terrorism by six point. >> jon: how the hell are these polls...
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Oct 9, 2012
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in colorado, in one right-leaning poll romney is now up by 3 points. the same showed him losing by 5 before the debate. now he's up by 3. in virginia, the president is ahead by 3 in virginia. that same poll had the president's lead at 5 points before the debate. that shows the president's lead shrinking. in michigan, it's now barack obama by just 3 points. the president had led by 10 last month. now it's down to 3. in ohio today, a poll on the right gives the president an edge of 2 points. that poll in iowa shows a gain for mr. obama, a 5-point gain. in florida, the same poll shows a 4-point swing for romney. he's up by 2 points. so the major fall or minor lift, however, you rattle the number lose, as the overall national polling shifts and the swing state races shift with them, the state where the romney campaign is hoping for the biggest shift of all is in ohio. in modern political history, ohio has been the path to the presidency for republican candidates. if republican candidates win ohio, they win the white house. if mitt romney doesn't win ohio,
in colorado, in one right-leaning poll romney is now up by 3 points. the same showed him losing by 5 before the debate. now he's up by 3. in virginia, the president is ahead by 3 in virginia. that same poll had the president's lead at 5 points before the debate. that shows the president's lead shrinking. in michigan, it's now barack obama by just 3 points. the president had led by 10 last month. now it's down to 3. in ohio today, a poll on the right gives the president an edge of 2 points. that...
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Oct 15, 2012
10/12
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i was impressed that the first romney debate caused a major swing in the polls. >> that is a great question. i have a fairly different opinions than most of my colleagues in this town. i do think that it is somewhat locked in.you ask people who they will vote for. that is a complicated question. you are on the phone answering somebody's question. some people want to please people and others want to not these people. there are varying degrees of people actually dialing in and paying attention. my own feeling is that is a very difficult time for any incumbent with unemployment reaching 10% and all the troubles any incumbent would have defending best. president obama is going into a very tough headwind. people dial in at a later and later date. a poll will tell you it is neck and neck. pollsters make money if things are neck and neck. people like me stay employed. a lot of those people happen to dial in at that moment. when they do that, they make up their mind. larget think there is a group of super intelligent independent voters that are paying attention to what is going on and saying, i sti
i was impressed that the first romney debate caused a major swing in the polls. >> that is a great question. i have a fairly different opinions than most of my colleagues in this town. i do think that it is somewhat locked in.you ask people who they will vote for. that is a complicated question. you are on the phone answering somebody's question. some people want to please people and others want to not these people. there are varying degrees of people actually dialing in and paying...
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Oct 9, 2012
10/12
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the poll in the free press and the pew poll not the only good news for the romney forces. they got a big boost as well in gallup's tracking poll which shows a 47-47 tie among likely voters contacted on the 4th through the 6th. in pre-debate polling, mr. obama, president obama, led by five. now, as for today's pew poll, the obama campaign takes issue with the party make-up of people surveyed, saying it tilts republican compared to september. the romney campaign, on the other hand, says it's pleased with the numbers. joining us now, jim acosta with the romney campaign in newport news, virginia and on the phone, dan lothian with president obama's campaign. jim, you're on the trail with the romney campaign. what's the reaction to the latest polling, because republicans were complaining about these polls as soon as last week. now the poll is good news for them. are they complaining? >> well, anderson, i have to tell you i just saw mitt romney standing out in a drenching rain in newport news just a couple hours ago and he still had a smile on his face. they're pretty happy. they
the poll in the free press and the pew poll not the only good news for the romney forces. they got a big boost as well in gallup's tracking poll which shows a 47-47 tie among likely voters contacted on the 4th through the 6th. in pre-debate polling, mr. obama, president obama, led by five. now, as for today's pew poll, the obama campaign takes issue with the party make-up of people surveyed, saying it tilts republican compared to september. the romney campaign, on the other hand, says it's...
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Oct 10, 2012
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romney up by 4 points in the pew poll. in the swing states, mr. romney leading in colorado by 4. mr. obama leading in pennsylvania by 2, the right poll showing a tie in nevada. the president up in new hampshire by 6 points. and really the one poll we waited on all day, the one poll that might matter more than any other single piece of data, the one piece we got today, president obama holding on to a 4-point lead in ohio. let's poll this one out. this is a cnn number from this afternoon. barack obama with an edge of 4 points in ohio, which is just outside the margin of error. it's far less than the 9-point leads in the survey not long ago. i should say to democrats and obama supporters, i'm sorry if i unleashed those numbers on you with a mature content warning label. but my friend e.j. dionne will be with us later. he says, i was talking with an old friend who was one of the nonpartisan polling outfits. we were discussing the large shifts in some of the polls on the presidential election and the feedback he receives whenever he puts out new numbers that make one side or the other
romney up by 4 points in the pew poll. in the swing states, mr. romney leading in colorado by 4. mr. obama leading in pennsylvania by 2, the right poll showing a tie in nevada. the president up in new hampshire by 6 points. and really the one poll we waited on all day, the one poll that might matter more than any other single piece of data, the one piece we got today, president obama holding on to a 4-point lead in ohio. let's poll this one out. this is a cnn number from this afternoon. barack...
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the gallup poll, for instance, has romney doing five points better. other polls have that a little smaller. so it seems like obama would even today win an election if everyone registered to vote turned out or certainly all adults. but based on the republican enthusiasm advantage and some democrats, i think, feeling a little disupon dent after the president's performance in denver last week, that alone might be enough to push romney over the top. >> the special way that you sort of distill the candidate's chances at 538, your now cast factors in not just polling but also economic data and other measures that you think give you a percentage chance that one of the two candidates will win the election. what's the percentage chance you have for each of the candidates and has that changed less than the national polls changed? >> the percentage is a 70/30 advantage for obama. which, by the way, if you go to vegas or offshore versions of vegas, you can bet at about those odds. obama is a 70% favorite. but my site had obama as an 85% favorite before the debate
the gallup poll, for instance, has romney doing five points better. other polls have that a little smaller. so it seems like obama would even today win an election if everyone registered to vote turned out or certainly all adults. but based on the republican enthusiasm advantage and some democrats, i think, feeling a little disupon dent after the president's performance in denver last week, that alone might be enough to push romney over the top. >> the special way that you sort of distill...
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win because there was a series of state polls before the debate. they showed it was closing after romney had a bad september. it confirmed my belief that there is a lead on romney -- obama's failing because of the poor economic record that there is a moment to how committed obama people are. i agree with my colleagues. obama is a favorite. i would make it 55-45. it is a difficult path to romney running the presidency. >> let's talk about the debate. based on your contacts, which would run for the president? was he not prepared? how did romney become a super debater? what happened at the white house and what happened with romney? >> i'd like to leno's line that only the nfl replacement rest obama won the debate. the president looked like a team that was overconfident, that did not fear or respect his opponent and did not take it seriously. the romney i saw was someone i had not seen in a long time. it was the romney i saw when he was running for the u.s. senate in massachusetts in 1994, a pragmatic problem solver. i would have put him 35-45 period -
win because there was a series of state polls before the debate. they showed it was closing after romney had a bad september. it confirmed my belief that there is a lead on romney -- obama's failing because of the poor economic record that there is a moment to how committed obama people are. i agree with my colleagues. obama is a favorite. i would make it 55-45. it is a difficult path to romney running the presidency. >> let's talk about the debate. based on your contacts, which would run...
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. >> over a windfall of new polling. >> we're seeing polls all over the place. >> mitt romney got a debate bounce. >> we cannot turn back now. >> the narrative about who's up, who's down in this race for the white house. >> it's a race that is anything but settled. >> there will be plenty of ups and downs over the next 28 days. >> just 28 days until election. >> are you in? are you ready for this? 28 days. are you with me? >>> tonight with 28 days until the presidential election, the head of the evolution-denying party got this question about evolution. >> that 47% comment that you made that's caused you a lot of grieve as you know. there's been a change in wrur position. you were initially saying when that tape came out that you weren't exactly elegantly stating your position. later and more recently you said you were completely wrong. i'm curious, governor, how did that evolution in your thinking go on from the initial reaction once that tape came out to what you said the other day that you were completely wrong? >> well, what i'm saying is that -- the words that came out were not what i
. >> over a windfall of new polling. >> we're seeing polls all over the place. >> mitt romney got a debate bounce. >> we cannot turn back now. >> the narrative about who's up, who's down in this race for the white house. >> it's a race that is anything but settled. >> there will be plenty of ups and downs over the next 28 days. >> just 28 days until election. >> are you in? are you ready for this? 28 days. are you with me? >>>...
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cnn poll has it at four. clearly, still a lot of work for romney. let's keep going. virginia, we saw polls before the first presidential debate starting to stretch outside the margin. back to a dead heat. that's nbc news "wall street journal" mars poll and down to florida and here's another one. it started to open up a handful. there is no question, no question, the race changed after the the first presidential debate. romney got a bounce. but when you get a bounce, the challenge is to sustain it. that's the big challenge. can paul ryan keep the republican momentum? >> so, it's narrowed in these battleground state, but is there any indication that first debate created new battleground states? >> some evidence. i'm a bit skeptical. but one state where the numbers changed, mitt romney's birth state of michigan. his dad was governor there. our cnn poll had it close to ten points. looked like no way the republicans could put that into play. three points. so that's within the margin of error. that sheds michigan back into play. do the democrats now think we have to spend
cnn poll has it at four. clearly, still a lot of work for romney. let's keep going. virginia, we saw polls before the first presidential debate starting to stretch outside the margin. back to a dead heat. that's nbc news "wall street journal" mars poll and down to florida and here's another one. it started to open up a handful. there is no question, no question, the race changed after the the first presidential debate. romney got a bounce. but when you get a bounce, the challenge is...
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Oct 12, 2012
10/12
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when we come back, jim cramer on the stocks going up faster than mitt romney's poll numbers because of mitt romney's poll numbers. >> up next, a republican with a different view of thou fix america's fiscal mess. david stockman served in the reagan administration but he's not talking tax cuts, quite the opposite. larry kudlow will take him on. we count you down to the vice presidential debate in danville, kentucky. two years ago, the people of bp made a commitment to the gulf. and every day since, we've worked hard to keep it. bp has paid over twenty-three billion dollars to help people and businesses who were affected, and to cover cleanup costs. today, the beaches and gulf are open for everyone to enjoy -- and many areas are reporting their best tourism seasons in years. we've shared what we've learned with governments and across the industry so we can all produce energy more safely. i want you to know, there's another commitment bp takes just as seriously: our commitment to america. bp supports nearly two-hundred-fifty thousand jobs in communities across the country. we hired three
when we come back, jim cramer on the stocks going up faster than mitt romney's poll numbers because of mitt romney's poll numbers. >> up next, a republican with a different view of thou fix america's fiscal mess. david stockman served in the reagan administration but he's not talking tax cuts, quite the opposite. larry kudlow will take him on. we count you down to the vice presidential debate in danville, kentucky. two years ago, the people of bp made a commitment to the gulf. and every...
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the latest polls, reuters has them tied. gallup has romney up by two. pew has him up by four. and we were talking about the polls in the balgtd ground states. it also now looks like according to other polls that pennsylvania and michigan may no longer be safe bets for the president. lynn. >> all right, thanks. last night on the rachel maddow show, nate silver talks about just how close the candidates are in the polls. >> the whole good month that obama had in september between the convention and the 47% tape, you're now seeing the race as close as it's been all year. i'm a little skeptical that it's actually tied based on the fact that obama still seems to on have a lead in the majority of swing state polls. but romney, who a week or two ago go looked like his campaign might be dead in the water, now is very, very close. maybe the debate was the october surprise, although it wouldn't be the first time that a challenger did really well in the first televised debate. >> every night rachel maddow takes on the biggest stories of the day. watch her at 9:00 eastern right here on msn
the latest polls, reuters has them tied. gallup has romney up by two. pew has him up by four. and we were talking about the polls in the balgtd ground states. it also now looks like according to other polls that pennsylvania and michigan may no longer be safe bets for the president. lynn. >> all right, thanks. last night on the rachel maddow show, nate silver talks about just how close the candidates are in the polls. >> the whole good month that obama had in september between the...
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so latest polls, obviously this is a good time for the romney camp. it's nice to see a big bounce after the debate. but -- and that's a big but -- polls are finicky things. and they have to know in that camp that this is the precarious position, paul. >> reporter: yeah, they're not taking anything for granted, romney campaign officials saying that, listen, they see polls go up, they see polls go down. they're staying with their same strategy. thank you for that trip down memory lane. i've been covering this race for a year and a half, so i appreciate those memories. this is interesting. the polls were starten to tighten up even before last week's debate. take a look at this, though. this is our cnn poll of polls. this averages the three national surveys of likely voters, live operator, nonpartisan surveys, and look at that, mitt romney, 48%, president obama, 47%. in the previous polls before the debate, the president had the slight advantage. that's national. what about the states? because the race for the white house is a race for the states and thei
so latest polls, obviously this is a good time for the romney camp. it's nice to see a big bounce after the debate. but -- and that's a big but -- polls are finicky things. and they have to know in that camp that this is the precarious position, paul. >> reporter: yeah, they're not taking anything for granted, romney campaign officials saying that, listen, they see polls go up, they see polls go down. they're staying with their same strategy. thank you for that trip down memory lane. i've...
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Oct 8, 2012
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polls show there is an opening for him there. obama leads by about five points when it comes to the trust would comes to international affairs. clearly, the romney campaign knows there is an area for him to make some headway there. there is always the risk that by focusing -- it's a couple of days before the vice presidential debate, there still maintaining the economy is the top issue, he runs the risk of focusing on too many areas rather than keeping that single- minded focus on jobs and economic issues. >> you talked about the vice- presidential debate coming up. there is also a foreign policy debate coming up on october 22. is this a preview for that debate and does that open the play book for the obama camp to see what mayor romney is going to talk about at that foreign policy debate? >> -- what mitt romney is going to talk about. >> i think we have heard many of these arguments before, after , governorattacke romney came out and made these points pretty forcefully. from what we have seen, today's speech is going to be a may
polls show there is an opening for him there. obama leads by about five points when it comes to the trust would comes to international affairs. clearly, the romney campaign knows there is an area for him to make some headway there. there is always the risk that by focusing -- it's a couple of days before the vice presidential debate, there still maintaining the economy is the top issue, he runs the risk of focusing on too many areas rather than keeping that single- minded focus on jobs and...
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Oct 7, 2012
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reminds them of -- >> if you look at the day by day poll, and you look at the post debate numbers, each category, whether going from immigration to medicare, whatever, shows that obama has slipped in each category. iraq, which will not even mentioned, we see running moving up in favorability. >> all because of the debate? >> these races do tend to tighten at the end, unless it is a total landslide. let me finish, guys. i really do think, to the great plea to all of us, this will be a down to the wire race. wille very close. >> see you next week.
reminds them of -- >> if you look at the day by day poll, and you look at the post debate numbers, each category, whether going from immigration to medicare, whatever, shows that obama has slipped in each category. iraq, which will not even mentioned, we see running moving up in favorability. >> all because of the debate? >> these races do tend to tighten at the end, unless it is a total landslide. let me finish, guys. i really do think, to the great plea to all of us, this...
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after yesterday's new poll showing romney up by four, 49-45. so where does the race stand in charles krauthammer. >> romney got nothing out of tampa. obama got bumped maybe three to five out of charlotte. what happened when that debate is romney got it all back. in 90 minutes in one night. maybe even more. right now the race is tied with romney still, i think, having some of the momentum from the debate. i think the rest of this story will be determined by the remaining debates. >> dana: debate fall-out from last week taking place. i like the smile that you just had. because i've -- the trajectory and the headline have been weighing down the obama team. we're going to get to the small ball thing in a minute. that's the fun part of the segment. poll wise for you, what stood out for you of the ones that have come out in the last couple of days? >> andrea: women. pew research center has them dead even at vii-vii. this was a demographic we have been told month after month that obama has had assailing can't lead -- significant lead with, he spent a
after yesterday's new poll showing romney up by four, 49-45. so where does the race stand in charles krauthammer. >> romney got nothing out of tampa. obama got bumped maybe three to five out of charlotte. what happened when that debate is romney got it all back. in 90 minutes in one night. maybe even more. right now the race is tied with romney still, i think, having some of the momentum from the debate. i think the rest of this story will be determined by the remaining debates. >>...
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i think you will see a turnaround -- turnout in the polls and will favor for mitt romney. host: we have been focusing on key sectors of the electorate. we will get back to your calls in just a moment. what shape your ideology? why are you a democrat and why you support president obama? do you support president obama? guest: mostly what influence the is my family and having empathy for others. i have always believed it is extremely important to be a voice for people that did not have a voice. president obama has shown that and making sure that is true for the world. we do not turn our backs on anyone. we want to make sure everyone is in this together and move forward together as a country. that is why when president obama ran as the candidates in 2008, he made sure it was not a red state, blue states, it was the united states. he is still focused on that to make sure we can reach across i knothe aisle. it does not make sense the day he gets sworn into office that the republican top goal is to make sure he is a one-term president. host: any interest in elected office yoursel
i think you will see a turnaround -- turnout in the polls and will favor for mitt romney. host: we have been focusing on key sectors of the electorate. we will get back to your calls in just a moment. what shape your ideology? why are you a democrat and why you support president obama? do you support president obama? guest: mostly what influence the is my family and having empathy for others. i have always believed it is extremely important to be a voice for people that did not have a voice....
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today's national gallup poll of likely voters shows governor romney with a slender lead of one point over the president. of course, that's within the margin of error so it's essentially a tie. tonight's debate isality centre college in danville, kentucky. nancy cordes and jan crawford are there. first we'll go to nancy, covering the vice president's campaign. nancy. >> reporter: scorkt the vice president arrived here in kentucky today after self days of intense preparation in his home state of delaware and several people there with him told us the president's weak performance in his own debate didn't so much change the strategy as raise the stakes and thails the vice president is very well aware he needs to have a better night than the president did. you recall when the president was preparing for his own debate, he called it a drag. well, the campaign is making it very clear that the vice president enjoyed his preparation, enjoys debating. they even released the vice president and what we learned one of six full-scale 90 movie minute mock debates. and, scott, here's why they're hope
today's national gallup poll of likely voters shows governor romney with a slender lead of one point over the president. of course, that's within the margin of error so it's essentially a tie. tonight's debate isality centre college in danville, kentucky. nancy cordes and jan crawford are there. first we'll go to nancy, covering the vice president's campaign. nancy. >> reporter: scorkt the vice president arrived here in kentucky today after self days of intense preparation in his home...
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governor romney is now ahead of president obama in just released fox news polls this hour. 46 to 45%. he also has a one percentage point lead, one-point lead advantage over the president in favorability opinion. 52 to 51. shift of four points. top story tonight is the growing fall-out from last month's terror attack in libya. the obama administration conflicting statements about it. that tells you how serious this has become. fox team coverage. ed henry looks at the latest episode of obama administration damage control. but we begin with chief intelligence correspondent catherine herridge on what went down today just behind me on capitol hill. good evening. >> thank you, bret. lawmakers question today whether the president political agenda throw security decisions on the ground in libya and assertions by the administration. >> there was no protest. the state department, f.b.i. a others have that video. >> the top state department official who testified before house government oversight committee confirmed he told lawmakers a day after this attack on the benghazi consulate that he beli
governor romney is now ahead of president obama in just released fox news polls this hour. 46 to 45%. he also has a one percentage point lead, one-point lead advantage over the president in favorability opinion. 52 to 51. shift of four points. top story tonight is the growing fall-out from last month's terror attack in libya. the obama administration conflicting statements about it. that tells you how serious this has become. fox team coverage. ed henry looks at the latest episode of obama...
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. >> i hear the polls have romney up by 67 points today. i think hysteria is a good word and i like andrew sullivan as much as the next conservative -- not conservative pundit he claims to be. i do think -- you know, in politics you can never extrap plate from a given point. everything is trend lines one way or the other direction. that was a bad night for the president and anybody who wants him to win. but it's not the last point we're going to see on the graph here. we're going to see, you know, two more debates, we're going to see more speeches, may see oscar the grouch get involved, who knows. but so, you know, plenty of time. if mitt romney, you know, could survive three bad weeks after the 47% video, the president can survive a bad debate performance and after the next one, whatever happened in the first time, won't matter. he may not -- he may do worse, may do better but won't matter anymore after the next two debates. >> also, to your point about graphs there is a an interesting graph in t"the new york times" when incumbents win and
. >> i hear the polls have romney up by 67 points today. i think hysteria is a good word and i like andrew sullivan as much as the next conservative -- not conservative pundit he claims to be. i do think -- you know, in politics you can never extrap plate from a given point. everything is trend lines one way or the other direction. that was a bad night for the president and anybody who wants him to win. but it's not the last point we're going to see on the graph here. we're going to see,...